The shipment of Russia's highly-anticipated S-400 air defense missile system to Turkey is expected to roll out any day now, much to the indignation of many U.S.
Despite the pressure, Turkey has refused to rescind.
support for the Kurds in Syria and suspected U.S. support for the attempted coup against the Erdogan government, the U.S. relationship with Turkey has been on rocky ground, "John Wood, a military analyst and author of" Russia, the Asymmetric Threat to the United States, "told Fox News. "For its part, Turkey's support for the Muslim Brotherhood has won few friends in the Whitehouse. Putin has exploited the rift between the two countries to ensure Russia is one of the key players to any resolution of the Syrian civil war. The S-400 purchase represents rubbing salt in the wound. ” INSIDE IRAN'S DEADLY ARMORY AND ITS CAPABILITIES TO FIGHT THE US
When they will touch down or where they will be deployed
According to Kamran Bokhari, Founding Director of the Center for Global Policy and Non-President Scholar at the Arabia Foundation, Turkey's purchase of the S-400 is informed by a couple of considerations
"First, it is trying to diversify its military hardware, which thus has been based on western systems. Second, by doing so, it is trying to gain leverage in its relations with the United States, which have been bad lately, ”he conjectured. “The Turkish are also calculating that the repercussions are unlikely to be too severe. The U.S. will have to impose some sanctions but not as yet but means to find a compromise solution. ”
However, the purchase has long drawn the ire of several US officials, who have cautioned that Ankara's already withering economy will be hit with Sanctions and barreds from a program to produce F-32 fighter jobs once the deal is sealed.
The US concern votes from the notion that Turkey's turn to Moscow will enable the adversarial nation to combine crucial intelligence that could disrupt and compromise NATO developments and especially the development of the American F-35, which is part of developing.
Wood anticipates that there will likely be clear and measured reduction in intelligence sharing between the two countries, and the prospective F-35 purchase by Turkey
Yet in a pivot away from the stance of most administration top brass, President Trump has declined to come down hard on Turkey, most recently suggesting that the country was a victim of unfair Obama Administration policies that prevented them from buying the US Patriot air-defense system.
The effectiveness of the S-400 long-range, surface-to-air missile system in the theater of war remains to be seen. According to a National Interest analysis, the system boasts an impressive ability against a range of aerial targets including aircraft, cruise missiles, and ballistic missiles but is still to be tested in combat. 19659003] "It's a prime example of a Russian hybrid warfare against the United States and its NATO allies," the report surmised. “The first strategic benefit (for Russia) is obviously the income generated by arms sales. The second strategic benefit is the prestige and international status generated by the perception that Russia is still a force to be reckoned with and capable of developing advanced and defensive weapons systems. ”
FEARS US WEAPONS ARE FALLING INTO THE ' WRONG HANDS 'DURING CHAOTIC YEMENI WAR
Many experts conclude that the real winner in the tussle is America's greatest Cold War adversary.
"In Turkey, there are two different factions behind the S-400 deal with Russia . On the one hand, the so-called Eurasianists, a clique within the security bureaucracy pushing for a pivot away from the West toward Russia and China, have been strong advocates of the acquisition of the Russian hardware, ”said Aykan Erdemir, a former member of Turkish Parliament and now Senior Fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies. "On the other hand, Erdogan and his inner circle of loyalists for the Russian air defense system more of a concern for their own safety, as a precaution against a future coup attempt, a fail-safe against Turkey's very own F-16 jets . ”
These two factions, which used to be bitter adversaries during the first decade of Erdogan's rule, have grown increasingly closer to the last five years.
“ Beyond sheer self-interest, both factions share a deep animosity towards the Western world and its values. They would, therefore, see U.S. Pat. sanctions resulting from the S-400 purchase as yet another opportunity to undermine Turkey's ties with the U.S. and other NATO allies, ”Erdemir claimed. "Moscow stands to gain the most from this crisis, as Ankara increasingly plays a spoiler role within NATO. Turkey's operations from the transatlantic alliance will make the country more susceptible to Russian influence and mediation. ”
GET THE FOX NEWS APP
Moreover, some experts argue that despite the war and words punishment This is likely to come from the hoopla.
"(The US will likely respond) with some kind of punitive measure, but probably short of stopping F-35 related work, given this administration's love of military exports and spot for authoritarian leaders like Erdogan, "said Defense Priorities Policy Director, Benjamin H. Friedman. “It will cause more people to talk about whether Turkey belongs to NATO, but I doubt there is a will among NATO members to do anything about it.”