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Trailer: Justin Amash, a primary challenge and GOP's quick adjustment



In this edition: The GOP's impeachment battle in Michigan, the risks of squashing party rebels and the Democrats who love old Republicans.

I wonder why no former president understood that he could just make a trophy and give it to sumo wrestlers, and this is The Trailer.

BELDING, Mich. – Recognizing Jim Lower, who was often the voters of Michigan's 3rd Congressional District, the 30-year-old Republican thanked for challenging established Republican reps. Justin Amash. Sometimes they pulled him over to offer advice or help or to emphasize how much they wanted Amash away.

"That guy is a punk. I think he's a democrat in disguise," says Larry Campbell, 44, who still takes an American flag from this small town's memorial memorial. "I think he cuts control from democrats."

Campbell offered to help connect the candidate to military veterans; Lower, a two-term legislator, took his figure down. During the week since Amash had accused President Trump of engaging in "illegal behavior", Lower had abandoned his own candidacy, raised $ 60,000 online and retweeted the president's mockery of the congressman. Amash, a conservative republican who once seemed to represent the growing libertarian wing of his party, had become a kind of hero to Democrats. His position within the GOP was less secure.

"I think he will be less and less efficient and less and less influential because he is continually marginalizing and isolating himself from his colleagues," lower in an interview. "He is one of the only Republicans to vote against cutting funds for planned maternity. He is one of the only Republicans to vote against military aid to Israel. He was never with Trump to begin with; he is against the president since before the president himself joined. Accusation of persecution was just the latest version of it. "

Amash's condemnation of Trump, who even surprised some long-standing congressional friends, made him the first republican to say the president deserved punishment. No other Congress Republicans agreed with him. In the Grand Rapids area, which Amash has represented in Congress since 2011, both parties see him as isolated and politically threatened. Republicans are looking at how to shed him; Democrats are recruiting candidates for face either him or whatever pro-Trump Republican replaces him on the vote.

"It is impossible to see how he himself has been nominated next year," said Brandon Dillon, former president of the State Democratic Party living in the Amash district.

The 39-year-old congressman has not had much to say about this. His thoughts on impeachment were announced and included in a series of tweets the first of which has been shared more than 86,000 times. He rejected countless print and television interviews, even as the head of his party in Parliament accused him of having "attention" and asked if he was a republican at all. Amash's office did not respond to media requests over the weekend; He will meet the voters tonight for the first time since his tweet storm at a town hall meeting. (Trailer will be on site, with tweets and a story.)

The result of Amash's decisions has been less of a debate about Trump and the Republican party than a spin-up version of that party's political adjustment. Amash, who was elected in the 2010 Tea Party wave, adjusted with libertarian-minded Republicans like Ron and Rand Paul. In 2014, he defeated a primary challenger supported by the American Chamber of Commerce and even some colleagues from the Republic. Then came 2016 when Donald Trump won Michigan with a populist nationalist announcement that Amash never approved.

According to Lower, the Republicans had talked about challenging the congressman already in 2018, but could not move fast enough. Lower yourself planned to challenge Amash even before the impeachment tweets. Last week, the deVos family, the richest and most influential figures in Michigan republican politics announced that they had finished Amash. According to Lower, the family had known their disappointment even before the impeachment tweets. Both the deVos family (which includes Trump's education secretary) and the Conservative Club for Growth have supported Amash during the 2014 challenge. But even it has called Amash "absolutely wrong" on accusation.

Back in Washington, the president himself had called Amash a "loser" and the National Republican Congress Committee remained neutral. (Amash has never donated to the committee.) Within the district, local Republican clubs have welcomed them to talk to them and have not decided who their congressman should be.

"President Trump has proven his ability to grow US economy, protect our borders and protect our Republican principles and policies," said Miranda L. Sharp Boisseau, President of Ionia County Republicans, in an email. "Congressman Amash serves as an elected official and is entitled to his opinion. He deserves respect for this position. But anyone can run and everyone is encouraged to run in the primary."

When the primary showed 2014, Amash's idiosyncratic positions served him enemies. They were just superior. From 2011 to 2018, Amash was a member of a GOP majority who rarely needed his vote on must-pass bills; His "no" on almost any expense bill or legislation, he did not see a constitutional justification for clicking with activists, even though it gave anger to some donors. In 2017, he ultimately supported the abolition of the overall care law and tax relief in 2017.

But Amash teamed up with his party about what he saw as the expansion of government power under Trump. He opposed immigration and customs enforcement decisions and supported efforts to halt the president's emergency immigration declaration. His impeachment tweets fit the same "abuse of power" theme; Amash explained why he believed the evidence presented by Specialist Robert S. Mueller III was convincing enough to start the process of "more examples of behavior that satisfies all elements of obstruction of justice." And he asked why other Republicans would not & # 39; Don't admit it.

"We have experienced members of the Congress of both parties changing their views 180 degrees – about the meaning of character, the principles of obstruction of justice – depending on whether they discuss Bill Clinton or Donald Trump" Amash tweeted .

In 2016, when Amash refused to approve Trump, the future president had not been particularly popular in West Michigan; he had won the state's primary but lost Amash's district to late Ted Cruz (R-Tex.). This was the part of the state that repeatedly sent Gerald Ford to Congress, and when Ford became Vice President, a democrat sent Washington to mandate President Richard Nixon.

But this was 2019, not 1974 or even 2016. For most Republicans, the Trump question had been settled.

"Initially, there was concern about his tone and tenor and tweets," Rep said. Bill Huizenga (R-Mich.), Who arrived in Washington with Amash, representing the more conservative 2nd district. "But the proof is pudding. You just have to look at what is happening here in West Michigan economically. The company is just flourishing."

Huizenga said he had read most of the Mueller report and simply reached another conclusion from his colleague . "What I get from the voters all the time is: Hey, when will the Democrats focus on any substance?"

Democrats were torn over what to really do with Mueller's results, which was one of the reasons why Amash's tweets traveled so far; Some on the left asked why a republican had a clearer picture of the situation than the housekeeper Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.), who has repeatedly pushed back on the idea of ​​persecution hearings. Having seen the president's work to defeat other critics in his party, local Democrats expected Amash to either lose his primary, leave the office of a Libertarian presidency or remain as a weakened agent in a district with an increasingly blue core around Grand Rapids. 19659005] "I'm sorry to be represented by somebody so out of touch with the daily Americans," said Doug Booth, a democratic activist seeking the party's nomination in the district. (Other Democrats with longer political summaries are encouraged to run.) "When the party needs him, he still falls in line."

Lower was also meant to portray Amash as out of touch, but in another way. The congressman, he said, had become less visible since his 2014 victory; Lower said he had personally heard from constituents with problems that Amash's office did not resolve. The third district, which Trump had had with 51.6 percent of the vote, had grown tougher since 2016; Democrats fetched a local state senate seat in 2018. At the same time, Republican activists who had been mixed up on Trump became huge supporters of the president. Polling seen by local Republicans had less than 50 percent of party voters obliged to support Amash for re-election.

"We have prepared a series of endorsements by state legislators in the district, people who know me and know Amash" Nedre said. "Usually, the more time you spend in Congress, you build seniority and influence. I think he has been in the opposite direction. He is less effective now than he was when he came there."

But Around the Grand The Rapids area spoke people about their congressman. Monday, when Huizenga joined local Republicans in a Memorial Day parade, people asked that Amash had strong opinions. Jesse Raleigh, a 36-year-old veteran and information engineer in Grand Rapids, said it was "refreshing" to see a Republican challenge Trump, though it was too early to say how he would vote.

"I think you should go back to Watergate to get a precedent for what is happening now," he said. "And the rest of the government has done a really bad job in exercising its responsibilities."

READING LIST

"Trump basked in spotlight in Japan, although his focus seemed elsewhere," By Ashley Parker

Is it unusual that a president under a foreign lucky shot at one of his potential general election opponents? It used to be.

"Beto O & # 39; Rourke stays on the road", by William Finnegan

A Pulitzer award-winning author captures Texan during his slow, steady decline in the polls.

"2020 candidates are not sure what to do about misinformation," by Tonya Riley

Deepfakes and old-fashioned fake news are underway, and no one is planning to fix it.

"Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand's Presidential Campaign Problem: A Crowded Niche," by Chelsea Janes

The Senator of the New York Senator does not break through in a field that is crowded, including with three other female senators.

"Joe Biden is the front runner at every goal – except for enthusiasm" by Marc Caputo and Natasha Korecki

The leader of the primary polls does not draw large crowds. Does it still matter?

"Joe Bids Limited Exposure Campaign: How Long Can He Hold It Up?" By Annie Linskey and Chelsea Janes

The former Vice President has a frontrunner esque light public schedule, but it is a risk-free strategy.

Wait, what?

Everyone loves John. This weekend, the beds shared by Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.) A formerly incredible anecdote with Iowans and reminded how late Senator John McCain "continued to refer to the dictators' names" under the President's EU address. The anecdote became widely used in the holiday weekend until "Memorial View Day", "The View" member Meghan McCain asked Klobuchar to stop using it.

"On behalf of the whole McCain family," McCain, the senator's daughter, tweeted on Klobuchar, "be respectful of all of us and give my father [‘] his legacy and memory out of the presidential policy."

It was an unusual question, and it won't be the last thing that McCain's family does. One of the strongest differences between Democrats and Republicans in 2019 is how much rank-and-file democrats still praise some members of the other party. Inviting McCain's name to most democratic events remains a surefire applause line; The 2008 campaign against Barack Obama has been forgiven and forgotten.

Polling bakes on anecdotes. After McCain's death, the questioners told all Americans what they believed in the former Arizona senator that Democrats considered him much more positive than the Republicans. In the 2018 mid-term election, the Democrats often chose McCain as an example of what the Republican party had lost. In an ad, now-Rep. Tom Malinowski (D-N.J.) Used a clip of McCain who praised his diplomatic work. The McCain family did not complain but let it be known that it rejected Republican ads using late senator's image to attack Democrats.

Joe Bid's success in some early polls has surprised analysts who saw the Democrats move to the left after 2016. This movement was real, but the modern democratic attitude is strongly influenced by Trump. His frequent insults on political opponents have drawn Democrats to his goals, such as McCain; they have also increased support for the concept of "nature."

It has led to all kinds of democratic candidates with wildly different policies leaning back to a children's republican party. At a stop in Indiana last month, the beds launched Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) The "racist" and "homophobic" president, while President George W. Bush honored how he pursued anti-Muslim attacks after 11. September, 2001.

"What did he do a few days after 9/11?" Sanders asked rhetorically. "He went to a mosque."

But no one has invoked the old GOP as much as Biden. On Tuesday afternoon, he responded to a couple of insults hit by the president during the long weekend trip to Japan.

"Being on foreign land, on Memorial Day, and repeatedly with a murderous dictator against a Med American and former Vice President speaks for itself," said Biden's deputy campaign manager Kate Bedingfield. "It is part of a pattern of embracing autocrats at the expense of our institutions – to take Putin's words to the value in Helsinki or to exchange" love letters "with Kim Jong Un."

Why was the statement released so long after Trump's statements? Because the campaign wanted to respect the holiday of the holiday and remain silent until the president was back on foreign land. It was a pushback drenched in nostalgia.

POLL WATCH

Are free trade agreements good for the United States? (Monmouth, 802 adults)

Good – 51%
Uncertain – 29%
Poor – 14%

In November 2016, voters supporting free trade agreements such as the Trans-Pacific Partnership were out of luck. Donald Trump had come across it; Hillary Clinton also, after Sen. Bernie Sander's primary campaign pushed her to give up a deal she had helped organize. And the perception that free trade policies lowered Clinton in the Midwest helped shape democratic organization after 2016.

But Monmouth has found support for the concept of free trade growing since that election. It was 51 percent last summer, at the beginning of "trade war". It's not sunk since. With a 22-point margin, more voters expect the president's rates to harm the economy than to help it, an assessment in synchronization with most economists.

2020

Joe Biden. He holds a Memorial Day event in Delaware on May 30, which is also the fourth anniversary of his son Beau & # 39; s death. While he will not be in California for the State Democrats' Convention, there are plans on the way to a fundraising swing through the area.

Bernie Sanders. Prior to a planned trip to the Walmart General Assembly, the Senator introduced a plan that would give workers some control over corporate decisions to ensure they were not "a cog in the machine."

Jay Inslee. He approved Marie Newman, the Liberal Challenger for Rep. Dan Lipinski (D-Ill.), emphasizes that she would "protect a woman's right to choose."

Elizabeth Warren. She's on her way to Michigan and Indiana next week, making her the latest Democrat to stop in Midwest States with later primaries; Sanders held events in both states while Beto O & # 39; Rourke, Kamala Harris, Amy Klobuchar and Kirsten Gillibrand have stumbled in Michigan.

Kamala Harris. She told new endorsements entering South Carolina; no other primary state has seen so many elected democrats take sides in the primary, with Bernie Sanders and Joe Biden receiving the most early support. And she introduced the concept of "Reproductive Rights Act", which, if passed, would contain much of Roe v. Wade in federal code.

Tim Ryan. He's back in Iowa in the coming weekend, in the Democratic Highlands like Des Moines and Ames, and speaking infrastructure.

Amy Klobuchar. She spends some extra time in the West prior to this weekend's California Democratic Convention; She must now stop in Carson City, Nev., for a veteran's event Thursday.

John Delaney. He is returning to South Carolina on Wednesday for a meeting and greeting, and then heading west for California Democrats.

Michael Bennet. He spends two days in New Hampshire in front of a Thursday night town hall at CNN's Atlanta headquarters. From there he takes his first visit to South Carolina.

COUNTDOWN

. . . three days until the Unity and Freedom forum in California
. . . 12 days until the Iowa Hall of Fame dinner in Cedar Rapids
. . . 18 Days Until the Black Economic Alliance Forum in South Carolina
. . . 29 days until the first democratic president debates


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