Republicans are eager to indulge in internal disagreement and make their 2020 primary choice for a coronation for Donald Trump.
Although there is nothing unusual about a party shielding an established president from potential rivals, this time, the Republican National Committee (RNC) is said to take extra steps to counter the so-called "#NeverTrump" movement.
An effort to make challenges against Trump in New Hampshire more difficult has been knocked back, but the Republicans in South Carolina are considering renouncing their primary and other states could follow.
Bill Weld, former governor of Massachusetts and the only republican who has announced plans to take Trump, shared his concerns during a recent turn through Nashua, New Hampshire.
"From what I read, the president is interested in having no primary places, and if he had his druthers, no choice," Weld told the Guardian. "This is from his lips, I don't make up. And from the notes that go from the White House and the Republican National Committee to the state parties, say whatever you do, make sure there's no competition."
Last year, New Hampshire's Trump supporters killed the idea of changing the state party's statutes to allow officials to approve the president and spend the party money on their campaign, as anyone would be the major opponent at a major disadvantage. [1
Welding and Other candidates can get their names on the New Hampshire primary ballot, which is overseen by the Secretary of State for a $ 1,000 fee. But the recent debate was a sign of an unexpected pressure from the RNC to give Trump a clear run in front of a presidential election that looks dangerously close.
Fran Wendelboe, treasurer of the conservative 603 Alliance in New Hampshire and a former member of the state house, said: "The announcement from the RNC is:" We cannot stop other candidates running, but we make it very clear that they are not will be welcomed with open arms and will not get much help. & # 39; "
Meanwhile, South Carolina Republican Party has suggested that it could cancel its primary to isolate Trump from challengers. In December, Drew McKissick, the party chairman, told CNN:" Why do taxpayers pay a primary? Our party fully supports the President. "
A final decision is made only until the summer when the party's management meets, according to the report. This week, the state party did not respond to Guardian requests for an update.
History suggests that challengers to incumbent presidents have a mountain to Ronald Reagan fell short against Gerald Ford in 1976. On the Democratic side, Ted Kennedy could not counter Jimmy Carter in 1980. Pat Buchanan failed against George HW Bush in 1992. But in all three cases, the rebels were undoubtedly instrumental in meeting the presidents defeat in the subsequent election election.
Trump's split presidency could make him mature for a primary challenge, and cracks have begun to appear in his support among the Senate Republicans over his national emergency declaration and criticism of late John McCain. Flake, former Ohio governor John Kasich, Utah senator Mitt Romney – party nominated in 2012 – and Nebraska late Tor Ben Sasse has all been the subject of speculation.
Another potential candidate is Larry Hogan, 62, the Republican Governor of Liberal Maryland
Hogan recently made a public appearance in Iowa, holding the first presidential cucus and leading to New Hampshire next month. But asked about his 2020 plans, Hogan told Washington Post: "At present, there is no point in a president having the kind of approval rating he does in his own party. That being said, I have said that things can change and we don't know what it might look like a few months from now. "However, the RNC seems determined to sip any such movement in the bud. 19659003] Rick Wilson, a Republican strategist and author of Everything Trump Touches Dies, said: "This is Trump's party now and they have to play the established game of protection."
Charlie Sykes, editor of the Bulwark and the author of how the right one lost his mind, added: "This is not business as usual. This is an attempt to end any kind of threat. They seem to be circular carts. It is a sign of the trumpet of the parties."
The irony of the RNC The effort is that Trump will probably love any challenger and may even be strengthened as a result. # The NeverTrump movement seems to be in full retreat, exemplified by conservative commentator Erick Erickson, who in 2016 found Trump uncomfortable, but now approves him.
"Some of my concerns about President Trump remain," Erickson wrote last month. "I still struggle with the character problem and I understand Christian friends who would rather put it out than get involved. But I also recognize that we cannot have the Trump administration policy without President Trump and there is a lot to suffer."  Trump's approval assessment in its own party remains formally high. According to a recent CNN study, 82% of registered Republicans in Iowa estimate that Trump is positive, while only 15% consider him unfavorable. Kasich had 27% approval, and Hogan and Weld were only 4% each.
Ronna McDaniel, the RNC chair, told CNN's Cuomo Prime Time with Chris Cuomo: "It's a bad bet, because I'm looking at his polling numbers. I look at how popular he is in the states I see on the map from Iowa to New Hampshire to South Carolina to Nevada, which will be the first four states. I just don't see an opening in the Republican primary. "
McDaniel has emerged as one of Trump's most vocal cheerleaders, even sitting with him About Romney, who is her uncle when they have spared.
The special lawyer Robert Mueller's discovery of no cooperation with Russia seems to have removed an obvious election responsibility for Trump. Analysts agree that any republican effort to shed Trump is a very long shot unless there is a dramatic shift in mood.
Henry Olsen, a senior Ethics and Public Policy Center thinktank fellow in Washington, said: "I think what the challenge is, the president's vote. In fact, 80% or more of the Republican Party is identified as conservative. The only people who seem to consider a race are moderate. The only person who would make a bulge is someone whose conservative bona fides are undoubtedly. "
He added:" Trump delivers what the Republicans want and they have made the decision that the things they dislike of pale to what he is actually doing. "
Bill Whalen, a spokesman for the Bush-Quayle Re-election and researcher at the Hoover Institution Thin Thought in Palo Alto, California, said: "I'm not sure how any politician, including an established governor, wants to take on a suicide mission that is likely to rule them out of a national ticket for the rest of their career." 9659003] RNC insists that it is common for both parties to renounce primacy in a presidential election election: 24 states held no Republican primarys when George W. Bush sought re-election in 2004, and 16 states held no democratic primary when Barack Obama pursued another mandate in 2012.
A representative from the RNC said: "President Trump continues to enjoy unprecedented support among Republicans and – as he has already demonstrated before – he certainly does not need rules to change to win over the American people. "