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The Reds lose Sonny Gray and the series opener to the Brewers



The good vibes flowed for the Cincinnati Reds. Fresh out of a cleaning of celebration of St. Louis Cardinals with four games, the Reds took a 1-0 lead into the fourth inning on a Shogo Akiyama RBI single. Sonny Gray looked as dominant as ever with five strikes.

Sonny Gray could not finish his warm-up throws until he started the fourth inning and had to leave.

The battered Reds bullpen had to cover seven innings. They weren’t exactly awful, allowing five runs over six innings, but the loss of Gray could have deflated the Reds offense. They could not get anything going the rest of the night and the Reds fell 5-1

. The loss pushes the Reds deficit in NL Central to 5.0 games.

Biggest game in the game

According to Fangraph’s WPA stats (winning percentage added) was the most important game in the game Sean Doolittle allows a solo home run for Avisail Garcia with 0 outs in the 4th round tying the game to 1. This game reduced Red’s probability of winning by 12.2% (from 66.9% to 50.0%).

Positive

Shogo Akiyama just got his 7th start of the season and ran the race. He became double contact after two bats. It’s good to see Tyler Naquin was OK to do more than just a knife hit. He left the match on Sunday with a hamstring injury.

The Reds played a great game defensively. Eugenio Suarez had a few great plays. Brach and Farmer also had some great games.

Amir Garrett threw a perfect 6th inning with 2 strikes. He allowed a leadoff single in the 7th inning before being lifted and that run was scored. It was still nice to see Garrett put together a solid inning. The Reds desperately need him.

Joey Votto returned to the Reds lineup. Employee # 19 went twice in his return.

Jonathan India had a key run tonight in the 7th inning with 2 outs. That brought Winker to the plate that represented the binding race. It did not work, but it was another good example of India’s impressive record discipline (10.9 BB%). India does not look like a rookie on the court.

Negatives

Sonny Gray had to leave the game after three dominant innings with groin tightness. David Bell said in the mail game that he will get an MRI tomorrow. Doug Gray covered the injury earlier in a post. I have nothing else to add except sadness. I think the Reds are much better equipped for the Cardinals or the kids to deal with a major SP injury, but it’s still a massive blow if he has to miss any starters.

Sean Doolittle served a game-binding bomb for the first dough he faced after replacing Gray. He has not been the worst pitcher on the team by any means (4.35 ERA / 4.45 FIP), but he has not looked like the good $ 1 million lottery the Reds asked for either.

When we got to the top of the 9th inning, the red chances of winning were very slim with two left-handed hitters heading up to the bottom of the 9th, down 2 races, against Josh Hader. They do not end up meeting Hater because Ashton Goudeau allowed 2 runs in the top of 9. It may not seem like much, but the breweries that do not have to beat Hader are brutal to the Reds. Hate has only put on three equal days once in his career (2019 and it did not go well). This could obviously really hurt the Reds if each of the next two games is close.

Not so random thoughts …

Tonight it felt like a gut shock after the Gray injury. It was very nice to have John Sadak, Barry Larkin, Tommy Thrall and Jeff Brantley on the calls between TV and radio. It is refreshing to hear their overall positivity during an overall brutal evening.

Next:

Breweries at Reds
Wednesday, 19:10
TV: Bally Sports Ohio
Vladimir Gutierrez (2.70 ERA) vs Brett Anderson (4.42 ERA)




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