A long decline in the betting market expectations often expects a firing.
Have the latest breakdowns of New York Mets sent such signals about Mickey Callaway? The answer to that is a resounding yes.
After a horrible weekend in Miami, Mets had dropped nearly 12 betting units in the season through 45 games – one of the worst in the big ones.
Additional context makes performance even more embarrassing. It is one thing to fight against a difficult schedule. Mets has played a fairly easy schedule. New York is located in NL East, baseball is the worst division. Altogether 60 percent of the early slate had come against Miami, Washington, Atlanta and Philadelphia. When playing "outsiders", Mets has been able to score .333 ball (a 6-1
Also a red herring 9-4 starts in 2019 season has helped hide the size of the recent collapse. Since then, Mets was 11-21 in the stand when the game started Monday night, for a loss of 15.5 bets.
You can't spell the "plum's" without Mets! This past weekend's debacle actually accelerated the fall. New York was swept by a Miami team that entered the series with a record of 10-31. Miami was 2-14 their previous 16 games!
Here is a quick glance at market prices at these losses:
- Friday: Mets (-230) lost 8-6 as big favorites. Break-even for Mets bettors at that price was 70 percent. This was supposed to be a light jump over a doormat.
- Saturday: Mets (-125) lost 2-0, who only managed a base hit. Miami pitcher Pablo Gomez put seven scoreless innings after entering with an ERA of 5.93. It's a hit … against a fighting start.
- Sunday: Mets (-190) lost 3-0 and only got two hits. Sandy Alcantara threw a complete game shutout after entering an ERA of 5.11. Three runs in 18 rounds versus Miami would be miserable. Mets succeeded in three hits.
In bets, it's not a 0-3 record, it's zero wins and 5.45 losses. The Mets were scored 13-6 by a glorified minor league team in a series they were to dominate.
In situations like this, there is always a great blame for walking around. Firing a manager is unlikely to solve all the problems. VSiN's point today is that this kind of thing typically means that there is a change. Markets define "expectations." Leaders or head coaches who can't get close to matching expectations are unlikely to stick.
The cord is even shorter when a baseball manager (or soccer or basketball coach) is early for a new season after a previous disappointment. In 2018, under Callaway, Mets went 77-85, dropped six units against the money line. Flight out of Miami Sunday night was Callaway's Mets 13 game under .500 through 207 games, with a net betting loss of 18 units.
Bettors beware … after this week's home to Washington and Detroit, 32 of Mets & # 39; last 38 games before the All-Star break will come vs. teams that currently have a winning record. Will oddsmakers be ready?