Home https://server7.kproxy.com/servlet/redirect.srv/sruj/smyrwpoii/p2/ US https://server7.kproxy.com/servlet/redirect.srv/sruj/smyrwpoii/p2/ The first tropical system affecting the United States could happen next week. NHC is following closely

The first tropical system affecting the United States could happen next week. NHC is following closely



A low-pressure area of ​​the Gulf of Mexico that is currently disorganized should be monitored, especially along the Gulf Coast by the end of next week.

“Subsequent slow development of this system is possible as it drifts northwest to north,” said the National Hurricane Center (NHC).

Right now, there is only a 20% chance that it will develop into something tropical over the next 5 days, according to the NHC, and a 30% chance of developing over the next 7 days, according to other forecasts.

The European and American computer models both have this possible storm develops very slowly.

The European forecast model for 1[ads1]8 June 2021

But it will be worth seeing, especially in the middle of the week along the Gulf Coast, as both models suggest a northbound track with the system.

The US forecast model for June 18, 2021.

If this forecast holds, this would potentially make this the first storm of the 2021 season to hit the United States.

“The location of this potential low pressure is exactly in line with what we consider the typical June formation area,” said CNN meteorologist Chad Myers.

Storm could enter a more favorable environment for development next week.

If this storm happens to get a name, it’s called Bill. We already had Ana, which was formed near Bermuda on May 22nd.

CPC predicts another hurricane season above average

The Climate Prediction Center predicts another busy year in the Atlantic basin. They predict anything from 13-20 named storms, 6-10 hurricanes and 3-5 major hurricanes – which are category 3 or higher.

In an average season, we see 14 named storms, 7 hurricanes and 3 major hurricanes.

The 2020 season was unprecedented. We had 30 named storms with 11 of them landing in the US. Fourteen were hurricanes and 7 became major hurricanes.

The hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30.


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