The 2020 marathon has started with a sprint
Sen. Kamala Harris on Monday announced her long-awaited announcement that she is running for president. A handful of other candidates have either announced exploratory committees (Elizabeth Warren, Kirsten Gillibrand) or have immediately announced that they are running (Julian Castro).
Apart from Harris and Warren (potentially) – at least in this early phase of the race – are still on the sidelines. Former Vice President Joe Biden seems to be moving towards a candidacy, but has not indicated when he can make a decision. Former Texas Rep. Beto O & # 39; Rourke is currently in soul-search mode.
These decisions – we would be surprised whether either Biden or Rourke did not ̵
1; have the potential to shake up in a meaningful way. At the moment, however, the movement in the 2020 field is entirely in second class.
Based on which here is our latest look at the 10 men and women who are most likely to win the democratic presidential election in 2020, ranked. 19659005] 10. Julian Castro: For the honor of the former San Antonio mayor, he did not groom much – he came in straight and announced his candidacy last weekend. "I'm not a front runner in this race, but I haven't been a front runner at any point in my life," he said, making his candidacy official. The question now for Castro is how he stands out in the race – especially if other Texan O & # 39; Rourke comes in. (Previous Rank: 9)
9. Amy Klobuchar : The point from senior senator from Minnesota to voters comes down to eligibility and pragmatism. Klobuchar's broad 2018 re-election marrow in a state that Trump almost won can sell with voters who desperately want to beat Trump. That, combined with a trial and a fairly moderate record (which can be rare among 2020 participants), could give her a unique lane for the appointment. (Previous ranking: 7)
8. Kirsten Gillibrand : New York Senator entered the race earlier this week – throwing herself as a leading voice for women in national politics. In announcing her exploratory committee, Gillibrand put her young family front and center – and noted that she ran to fight for them. Speaking of the fighting, her promise that she is not afraid of Trump, could win her some support from Democrats seeking a scrapper. The problem? She has a long voice in the House, which is considerably more conservative than her Senate votes. (She is already trying to clear this record, she told MSNBC's Rachel Maddow on Wednesday night that her previous weapons and immigration positions were wrong.) (Former Rank: 10)
7. Bernie Sanders : 2016-runner-up continues to place a (distant) second in 2020 primary polls behind Biden. It is enough, along with the growing liberalization of the democratic base, that he is still a candidate. Don't make a mistake: his stock has fallen. Despite universal name recognition, he cannot break out of the teenager in the primary polling. There will also be candidates such as Rourke who can eat in Sanders' base of young voters. And the last couple of months have been particularly tough for the Vermont Senator. For example, he had to apologize to women who were "harassed or abused" during his campaign in 2016 by male campaigners. (Previous ranking: 6)
6. Sherrod Brown : If you're looking for a trustworthy dark horse, the Ohio Senator is. Now Brown is not yet in the competition, but his announcement this week that he is starting an early listening tour suggests that he is likely to be a candidate. Brown has a proven record of winning votes in a Midwest swing, a long record of liberal advocates and an authentic populist strip. But can he raise money to compete with the big girls and boys? (Previous Rank: 8)
5. Cory Booker : Iowa and New Hampshire will play a major role in the 2020 nomination process. It is good news for the junior senator from New Jersey who has worked with his ass to build relationships in the two early states. Booker, like others in the field, can point to a progressive senate plate. He is also one of only two black candidates in the field. (Black voters make up about 20% of democratic voters.) Booker has two obvious potential shortcomings. First, many Sanders followers regard him as a "neoliberal" for his ties to Wall Street. Secondly, Booker can be very energetic, but sometimes it may seem like infinity. You can remember his "Spartacus moment". (Previous Rank: 4)
4. Elizabeth Warren : After a very rocky clean-up to her message, the Massachusetts Senator had a nice roll out of her exploratory committee – which she announced somewhat surprisingly on 31 December. While Warren fumbled her attempt to question her native American heritage behind her, she remains a strong figure in the party. She is a liberal liberal with anti-corporatist cred and an ability to raise millions of dollars. (Previous Rank: 5)
3. Joe Biden : The case of the former Vice President is what it has always been: He has a clear leadership in the primary polls; his favorable judgments with Democrats are through the roof; he has a significant lead in early votes against Trump (which strengthens an electoral argument); and he was the second command of the very popular President Barack Obama. Moreover, it seems that Biden wants to run, which obviously increases his chance of winning. But Bids problems are also clear. He is an old, white moderate man in a young diversifying party eager to choose progressives and women. (Previous Rank: 3)
2. Beto O&R; Rourke : The former Texas Congressman is the strangest potential candidate on the field – with much. He is being spied by many as the closest thing to Obama since, yes, Obama. And though R&D has not made its intentions clear, his solo road trip looks like the kind of thing a person wants to run for president. While Rourke still has some time to solve this problem, his ambiguity about problems could come back to bite him if he didn't go fast – and quickly. (Previous Rank: 2)
1. Kamala Harris : When trying to think about who will win the nomination, you can look at a checklist of attributes that play well within today's democratic party. The junior senator from California controls almost all of them. Progressive? Check. Woman? Check. Black? Check. Can it take Trump? She is the former lawyer in California. Still, Harris is well back in the early polls that keep us from going all over her. (Previous Rating: 1)
This story has been updated.