In the video, Gideon hits Collins for voting for President Donald Trump's tax cuts and for Kavanaugh, and even features footage of the President thanking Collins. So you know where Gideon is headed in this campaign: Collins likes to say she's a moderate but when she's in Washington like a Trump conservative.
That argument ̵
Collins is an able campaigner – and she'll have as much money as she needs from Washington Republicans. (The Gideon video features Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell making that point.)
That said, there is reason to believe that the 2020 race – now that Gideon is in – will be Collins' toughest since she won the open seat of retiring Sen. William Cohen in 1996. Here's why:
1) Trump's presence in the White House has radicalized voters into partisan camps, leaving very few of the centrists who collins have always relied on. And if people vote purely on partisanship, Collins loses in Maine; Hillary Clinton carried the state 48% to 45% over Trump in 2016.
2) Collins' Kavanaugh vote is just the sort of thing Democrats have been waiting years for. In past campaigns, Democratic Strategists always struggled to prove – beyond any reasonable doubt – that Collins was more aligned with national Republicans than she let on. But they could never find that singular vote – until Collins voted to confirm Kavanaugh.
The Point : Collins is a survivor – as proven by her long electoral record of vanquishing highly touted Democratic candidates. But there is reason to believe 2020 poses a challenge Collins has never seen before – and that might be too much for here.