Mariano Rivera made history through his 19-year career and he made the story again earlier this week as he became the first unanimous choice for the National Baseball Hall of Fame. All 425 voters named him on their vote. I didn't think it would, but it did, and it's pretty amazing. Couldn't choose a better player to be the first unanimous Hall of Famer.
Mike Mussina, Rivera's teammates with the Yankees for eight years, was also voted in the Hall of Fame earlier this week. Mussina has not yet decided whether he wants a Yankees hat or an Orioles hat on his Hall of Fame poster, though he had several wins (1
Derek Jeter joins the Hall of Fame poll next year, and as Rivera he is a slam dunk first ballot Hall of Famer. He can even be unanimous! It would be fun, Rivera and Jeter were the first two unanimous Hall of Famers. Either way, Jeter enters the Hall of Fame next year. There is no doubt about that. Then it may be a while until another Yankee is voted for Cooperstown.
Bernie Williams and Jorge Posada have already dropped from the Hall of Fame vote, receiving less than the 5% needed to remain on the vote for another year. (Williams spent two years voting. Posada fell in year 1.) Don Mattingly exhausted his 15-year vote without being voted in the Hall of Fame. I suppose one of the early committees could vote him in a la Harold Baines. We will see.
We know that Jeter will be the next Yankee to vote in the Hall of Fame of the Baseball Writers Association of America. We don't know who will be next after that. Let's go through the upcoming candidates, should we? Here are the Yankees due to appear on the Hall of Fame poll in the coming years.
Jeter is the big name here. He's the only slam dunk Hall of Famer finishes the ball next year. Also voting is former Yankees Jason Giambi, Bobby Abreu and Alfonso Soriano. Abreu has a statue case for Cooperstown, but if he comes in, he wants a Phillies cap on his plaque. He played several games with Phillies (1,353) than any other team combined (1,072).
Giambi played several games with the athletics (1,036) than the Yankees (897), plus he won an MVP and finished second place in the MVP votes simultaneously with the AFCs. There is also the performance-enhancing drug thing. Giambi gave the vague excuse to let people down without saying what he was doing, but we all know what he was talking about. So many Hall of Fame voters are dug at PED & # 39; is that although Giambi's case was stronger than it really is, I still don't think he would come in.
Soriano played several games with the Cubs (889) than the Yankees (626), but he had some of his best seasons in pinstripes. He led the league in hits (209) and homers (41) in 2002 and finished third in this year's Rookie and third in the MVP voted while he was with the Yankees. Soriano's best season, his 40/40 season (46 homers and 41 steals) came with the citizens in 2006.
I don't think Giambi has a chance in the Hall of Fame because of PED stuff. Abreu and Soriano beat me as Hall of Very Good players instead of the Hall of Famers, and hey, there's nothing wrong with that. They had good careers and made tons of dough. Also we are looking for the next Yankee Hall of Famer here, and I don't think Giambi, Abreu or Soriano would have a Yankees hat on his Hall of Fame plaque, even if they come in. They did more with other teams.
Andy Pettitte is the best player with the chance to enter the Hall of Fame as a Yankee next year than Jeter. Pettitte was voting for the first time this year and he received only 9.9% of the vote. He's much closer to falling from the poll than he gets the 75% needed for induction in Cooperstown. It took Mussina six years to vote for the Hall of Fame. I have to believe that it will take Pettitte at least so long, if not to get induction anymore.
There is no slam dunk Hall of Famers set to participate in the poll in 2021, the Yankees or otherwise. The best players participating in the poll are probably Tim Hudson and Mark Buehrle. The best former Yankees set to participate in the poll are A.J. Burnett and Nick Swisher. Next.
Now we're talking. Alex Rodriguez ends the vote in three years, and his career was very obviously worthy of the Hall of Fame. There are no arguments with the raw numbers. A-Rod is one of the 10-15 best players in the game's history, and if you take his career at face value, he should be unanimous marking. However, you cannot take his career at face value. Rodriguez admitted to using PED's and earned a year-long suspension for a separate PED violation.
If Barry Bonds and Rogers Clemens do not enter the Hall of Fame, A-Rod has some hope of entering. The voting body is skewed younger and thus more forgiving to PED's, but so many voters are digging on this topic and will not change their minds. Jeff Passan recently spoke to voters who did not vote for bonds or Clemens, and it is clear where they stand. Bonds and Clemens have seen their support plateau in recent years. It would take a sea shift in the Hall of Fame, which voted to enter before their election expires in three years.
In the unlikely event he is voted in Cooperstown, it is safe to assume that A-Rod would enter as a yankee. He played several games as a Yankee (1,509) than he did as the Mariner and Ranger combined (1,275), plus he won two MVP's in pinstripes and his World Series ring. More games, more homers (351 to 345), more hardware, more rings like a Yankee than anywhere else combined. Should he come in – if Rodriguez remains ballot paper every ten years, his last year of eligibility will be 2031, which is a long way away – A-Rod would go in like a Yankee.
The second notable former Yankee joined the vote in three years is Mark Teixeira. My feeling is that if Fred McGriff could not enter the Hall of Fame, Teixeira will not enter either. Teixeira hit 409 homers and led the league in homers and total bases once (39 and 344 respectively in 2009), but that's pretty much it. Teixeira played several games as a Yankee (958) than as a Ranger, Brave and Angel combined (904), so if he enters the Hall of Fame, I think he would go in like a Yankee. I'm just not sure he's coming in.
The only serious Hall of Fame candidate to attend the four-year vote is Carlos Beltran. I think he's coming into Cooperstown. If not on the first vote, than in the end. Beltran is an unlikely candidate to be the next Yankee in the Hall of Fame simply because he played most of his career elsewhere. Only 341 of its 2,586 career games came in pinstripes, or 13.2%. I think Beltran would go into the Hall of Fame like Royal or Met? In any case, it won't be like a Yankee, so Beltran is not the answer to our question.
Players retiring after last season will be eligible for the Hall of Fame induction in 2024. This means Adrian Beltre, Joe Mauer, Chase Utley and David Wright. They combined for zero (0) games like a Yankee. Matt Holliday and Curtis Granderson could also participate in the Hall of Fame vote in five years if they fail to find work this winter. Holliday spent a beautiful year with the Yankees. He would go in like a Rockie or Cardinal. Granderson had some of his best seasons in pinstripes, but played several games with the Tigers (674) and Mets (573) than the Yankees (513). Love Grandyman, but I don't see him as a serious Hall of Fame candidate.
Ichiro Suzuki is a clear cut Hall of Famer, and he goes in as a Mariner as he should. It leaves two active players using the majority of their careers with the Yankees and deserving of serious Hall of Fame consideration: Robinson Cano and CC Sabathia. This offseason's trade ensures that Cano would enter Cooperstown as a Yankee. He wants to share the second half of his career between (at least) two teams, which means he won't be able to do enough with the seamen to change his legacy from the Yankees, great for Mariners.
Of course, Cano earned a PED suspension last year, which probably destroys his chances at the Hall of Fame. Manny Ramirez undoubtedly has the Hall of Fame credentials, but because he earned two PED suspensions, he did not top 24% of the vote in his three years at the Hall of Fame poll. Cano closes on 3,000 hits and Jeff Kent's home run record for second basemen. Robbie is the best other baseman of his generation. The suspension means he has a hard tray to climb.
If Cano finishes the last five years on his contract, it means he is ten years away from the Hall of Fame poll and 20 years away from his ten years of voting. We could still talk about Robbie being in the poll as a potential Hall of Famer in 2038! It's terribly far away, man. The voting body can and will change between now and then, and a PED suspension cannot be as much of a dealbreaker as it is now. We will see.
Sabathia has several victories (129 to 117) and several starts (284 to 254) as a Yankee than he did as an Indian and brew combined, though he has slightly less WAR (+29.7 to +32.5 ). Sabathia also won his Cy Young in Cleveland and split 2008, his best individual season between Indians and breweries. He won his World Series ring (and ALCS MVP) as a Yankee and has three top four finishes in Cy Young's voice in pinstripes. At some point this year he records his 250th victory and 3,000. strike, which is pretty cool.
I think Sabathia would have a Yankees hat on his Hall of Fame poster. The real question is whether he comes into Cooperstown. Mussina was an objectively better jar, and he had to wait six years for the vote to enter. Pettitte was a notch under Sabathia, but he has the entire legacy of Yankee going to him, and he didn't come close to induction this year. (Pettitte is admitted to human growth hormone user.) Sabathia will retire after this season, which means that he will hit the Hall of Fame in 2025. If he enters the Hall of Fame, it will take several years for the ballot a la Mussina (and Pettitte).
In the long term, Giancarlo Stanton sees a potential Hall of Fame track, watching 300 homers and +40 WAR through his 28-year-old. Five hundred homers and +65 WAR are well within reach. Aroldis Chapman is like 60% of the way to Billy Wagner's career at this time, and Wagner hasn't come close to induction yet, so Chapman has an upward rise. Aaron Judge was a bit of a late-night drummer (he played his first MLB season for 25 years), putting him behind the eight-ball Hall of Fame. Gary Sanchez? Is Torres Glowing? Miguel Andujar? Luis Severino? Great talents far from the Cooperstown combination.
What about Dellin Betances? He is the best installer of his generation (yup), and it is possible that he is eventually entitled to appear at the Hall of Fame poll, voters may have very different standards for relief pitcher. As long as Wagner stays so far away from induction – it was Wagner's fourth year of voting, and he has yet to receive another 17% of the vote – I can't see Betances as a serious Hall of Fame candidate. Gosh, it would be fun, wouldn't it?
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We know that Jeter will be voted in the Hall of Fame next year. It's a security. The next Yankee enters the Hall of Fame after Jeter is up in the air, mainly because A-Rod and Cano have earned PED suspensions, significantly lowering their chances of settling in Cooperstown. As we are here, we may as well make this a vote, so let's get to it.