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Oddsmakers give dolphins 1 percent chance of winning AFC East



Don't call it refueling.

Call the strategic rebuilding that could result in No. 1 election of the 2020 draft.

And if you see the dolphins last two weeks through the lens, then the plan is on the right track.

Just ask Alan Berg, senior manager at Caesar's Entertainment, who shared his book's updated odds for each team to win his division.

The Patriots are not surprisingly overwhelming favorites to repeat as AFC East Champions: minus-850, which is an implied probability of 89.5 percent.

Adam Gase and the Jets are next on the list at 6.5 to 1

.

The bills come in third on 10-to-1.

So where do the dolphins leave?

Twenty-two-one?

Berg lists the dolphins as a 100-to-1 long shot to capture their first division title since 2008. In other words, they have a 1 percent chance of destroying New England.

It's historically bad.

By comparison, the Cardinals owners of the No. 1 2019 draft choice – 25 to 1 to win the NFC West. The hunters who have just shed away one of the best players in the league are 15-to-1 to win the NFC East.

So the giants are six times more likely to win their division than the dolphins.

And considering the construction of the dolphins roster, it's almost a surprise that their odds are so good.

The dolphins don't have a quarterback. (And their two top veterans decided that a better option was to sign backups elsewhere.)

They don't have a real tackle or a left guard.

And their most accomplished defensive end, Robert Quinn, is trading bait.

For most other teams in another year, this would be a full blown disaster.

For the dolphins, it is the execution of a careful plan.

In other words, thank you very much

] Granted, they can't say it. No team will admit that losses really win.

Therefore, Chris Grier told reporters on the Scouting Combine that "we are not trying to think or lose any game. But we must build it right and see how it plays."

But his actions have spoken even higher.

The dolphins are all-in by 2020 with at least 10 projected drafts (including very high first rounder if Vegas is right) and more than $ 120 million in payroll.

But before the offseason bonanza we will survive the months of September, October, November and December. 19659002] And there will be pain, Vegas insists.

Even before trading Ryan Tannehill to Titans for draft picks, including a fourth round in 2020, the dolphins were the longest shot to win the Super Bowl. OddsShark had them at 125-to-1. Westgate noted them at 150-to-1.

What about VegasInsider? A huge 200-to-1.

But again, no panic. Brief about trading for Aaron Rodgers, Odell Beckham Jr. And about 10 other players, the dolphins would not win it all this year. Grier knew that the day he took control of football operations.

So with Stephen Ross's blessing, he took the strategic decision to take two steps back in hopes of making a quantum leap forward.

Savvy observers get it. And applaud him for that.

"Can't believe I'm saying this, but #Dolphins do * work, *" wrote Evan Silva, a senior NFL author for Rotoworld. "Have a chance to become one of the most interesting teams in the NFL over the next few years if they stop."

But first they will lose.

Probably much.

It won't be fun, Dolphin's fans. But you can never say that the betting staff did not warn you.


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