The poll, conducted at the University of New Hampshire's Survey Center, shows the young mayor of South Bend, Indiana, joining Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont and former Vice President Joe Biden at the top of the increasingly large Democratic presidential pack. Sanders and Biden have generally been dominating the field in national and state polling since the cycle began.
Sanders has been top of the list since last year in New Hampshire at the University of New Hampshire's polling, helped by its close proximity to his home state of Vermont, with three-in-ten likely Democratic primary voters saying they vote for him. While Biden usually dominates national surveys, he comes in second in New Hampshire, with 1
Buttigieg rounds out the top ten of candidates with 15%. gone from being a mostly unknown Midwestern mayor to one of the spring's hottest names in the Democratic presidential race. Polls from the last two months show the Hoosier is consistently finishing in third early early polls behind Sanders and Biden.
Following the three top candidates in the University of New Hampshire survey are Sens. Elizabeth Warren or Massachusetts (5%); Kamala Harris of California (4%); Cory Booker of New Jersey (3%); forms Rep. Beto O'Rourke or Texas (3%); Late. Amy Klobuchar of Minnesota (2%); businessman Andrew Yang (2%); and Rep. Tim Ryan (2%). The rest of the field tested at 1% or less.
Expect those numbers to change quite a bit in the coming months of polling: Only 9% or likely Democratic voters in New Hampshire said they've definitely decided who to vote for in the primary, and another 14% said they were leaning toward a candidate. Three quarters said they hadn't decided.
When asked what candidates they want to support as an open-ended question (instead of a list of options), Buttigieg and Biden were much closer (11% and 12%, respectively), while Sanders still dominated, meaning that most people named Sanders as their candidate instead of choosing him from a list.
But the list is more like being in a voting booth than an open-ended question, which is more reflective of name recognition. A jump in the open-ended question rankings may mean that in name recognition for the South Bend may more than it means that other candidates have a decrease in their support.
When asked if there were any candidates that the respondents wouldn Supporting any circumstances, almost three in 10 likely. But 14% said they wouldn't support Warren in any circumstance, more than any other candidate.
Likely Democratic primary voters were on whether Sanders or Biden had the best chance of winning the general election in November. About half as they were at least somewhat concerned that choosing a candidate over the age of 70 would decrease the party's chance of winning. Fewer were concerned about nominating and openly gay candidate (38%) or a woman (23%).
Biden trumps other candidates for likeability – 28% said he is the most likeable Democratic candidate – while Sanders wins on progressiveness (36% of Democratic likely voters said he's the most progressive). On the Republican site, 76% of likely primary voters said they would support President Donald Trump if the election were held today. Fewer said they'd vote for forms Govs. John Kasich (10%) and Bill Weld (5%).