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NASCAR at Sonoma odds, select 2019: Projection model says Ryan Blaney surprises at Toyota / Save Mart 350



After a week's time, the 2019 NASCAR season continues Sunday at the Sonoma Raceway for the 2019 Toyota / Save Mart 350. NASCAR at Sonoma is a departure from the NASCAR norm when the California court is a 12-turn, 2.52 mile road surface instead of an oval. For years, NASCAR would be overestimated by roadway specialists as they would face these challenges, but today top drivers are using these events to try to show their versatility. Kevin Harvick won this race in 201

7 and finished second in 2018 to give him four consecutive sixth or better performances in Sonoma. He is the 7-2 favorite in the last 2019 Toyota / Save Mart 350 odds. Defending champion Martin Truex Jr. is just behind him at 9-2, while seven driver's total is listed at 10-1 or better. But before you make your 2019 Toyota / Save Mart picks, be sure to check out NASCAR on Sonoma predictions and project the leaderboard from the documented computer model at SportsLine.

Developed by DFS pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates each run 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and latest performance.

The model is starting a strong start in NASCAR this year, calling the Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin a top four competitor from the start. It nodded eight of the 10 leading drivers at Pennzoil 400, which included putting winner Joey Logano in his projected top five. It also called Kyle Busch's big winner in Bristol last month. In addition, the Coca-Cola 600 winner Martin Truex Jr. in top two and then nailed Kyle Busch's victory at Pocono.

It also made some big calls last year, including the right-leaning winner of Kyle Busch in Chicago and Martin Truex Jr. in Sonoma. It also nailed three of the top four finishers in Michigan and two of the four tops on the Daytona 500. Anyone who has followed his picks is completely up.

McClure, who has a mechanical engineering, grew up around tracks. Great events at iconic places like Sonoma Raceway are in his blood. Now its model 2019 simulated Toyota / Save Mart 350 10,000 times, and the results were surprising.

For NASCAR in Sonoma 2019, we can tell you that the model is high on Ryan Blaney, who runs heavily on the routed flag despite going out as a long shot of 25-1. The 25-year-old has been driving well over the past few seasons. He finished in the top 10 of the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup standings over the past two seasons and is in ninth place right now with four top-five finishes in the season.

Blaney finished ninth in Sonoma two years ago and also has a top-10 finish at Watkins Glen, another course on the NASCAR circuit. However, he really proved himself as a groundbreaking racer when he won the preliminary course in Charlotte last season, which was the last course race NASCAR race. If he can put together a complete race on Sunday, he will get a good shot to fly up on NASCAR on the Sonoma leaderboard.

And a massive choker: Kevin Harvick, Vegas favorite of 7-2, does a strong run but lacks the title. There are far better values ​​in a loaded 2019 NASCAR on the Sonoma lineup.

Harvick won this event in 2017 and finished second for Truex last season, but he has had a hard time getting all the way to the front despite being one of the favorites in almost every race this year. In fact, Harvick has not finished better than fourth place in a race all season, and he has had three finishes outside the top 20 altogether. In his last two races last year at Watkins Glen and Charlotte, he barely managed to break the top 10, so there are many reasons to fade Harvick on Sunday.

The model is also aimed at two other drivers with NASCAR at Sonoma odds of 25-1 or longer to make a serious race by winning it all, including an astronomical long shot. Anyone who backs these long shots could hit the big one.

So who wins the 2019 Toyota / Save Mart 350? And what long shots stun NASCAR? See the latest NASCAR odds below and then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected leaderboard for the 2019 Toyota / Save Mart 350, all from the model that has broken its NASCAR options.

Kevin Harvick 7-2
Martin Truex Jr. 9-2
Clint Bowyer 6-1
Kyle Busch 6-1
Chase Elliott 6-1
Kurt Busch 10-1
Joey Logano 10-1

Denny Hamlin 14- 1
Brad Keselowski 18-1
Jimmie Johnson 25-1
Ryan Blaney 25-1
Daniel Suarez 25-1
Erik Jones 40-1
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