Home https://server7.kproxy.com/servlet/redirect.srv/sruj/smyrwpoii/p2/ Health https://server7.kproxy.com/servlet/redirect.srv/sruj/smyrwpoii/p2/ Key coronavirus model predicts nearly 80 percent increase in deaths in February

Key coronavirus model predicts nearly 80 percent increase in deaths in February



A key model predicts approximately 171,000 more coronavirus-related deaths by February 2021, a figure that would represent a 78 percent increase.

The model from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington School of Medicine suggests that there will be approximately 389,087 deaths by February 1st.

If all Americans wear face masks, the best case model of the model projects 314,000 deaths before that date. However, the model predicts more than 477,000 deaths if mask mandates are eased.

“We expect deaths to stop falling and begin to rise over the next one to two weeks,”

; researchers said according to CNN. “The winter increase appears to have begun somewhat later than the increase in Europe. Daily deaths will reach over 2,000 a day in January, even with many states reinstating mandates by the end of the year.”

As of Thursday morning, the U.S. now has an average of about 52,345 new daily cases, up 16 percent from the previous week.

An analysis of COVID-19 data from Johns Hopkins University reveals that 21 states are recording a peak of weekly averages of new cases since the onset of the pandemic, CNN reported.

States that are seeing record increases in new cases include Alaska, Colorado, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Kansas, Kentucky, Minnesota, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, New Mexico, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, South Dakota, Utah, West Virginia, Wisconsin and Wyoming.

Public health experts warn that rising cases will continue to rise as the weather cools down and people move indoors.

Anthony FauciAnthony FauciTrump questions coronavirus, conspiracy theories in war-torn town hall Chris Christie says he ‘made a mistake’ in not wearing face mask in White House Overnight Health Care: Georgia gets Trump approval for Medicaid’s work demands, partial extension | McConnell shoots down. 8 trillion coronavirus trades MORE, the government’s top expert on infectious diseases, warned on Thursday that US families should “assess the risk / benefit” of holding a Thanksgiving gathering on coronavirus spread.

“We really need to be careful this time, and each family is assessing the risk / benefit of doing so, especially when you have people coming in from the city who may have been on planes at airports,” Fauci said.

He called the current situation in the United States “quite worrying [and] We really need to double the basic public health measures that we talk about every single day because they can make a difference. ”




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