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I'm skeptical about Lyft as a longer-term investment



Lift, the rideshare company set to hit public markets Friday, will be a good stock to buy in the short term but it has challenges in the long run, CNBC's Jim Cramer said Friday.

.5 billion and the stock could sell between 3.8 to 4.8 times next year's sales.

"I think the stock can go to $ 75 before starting getting expensive relative to its peers, but for all we know it will go to $ 75 immediately after the start s trading. After that, I think you need to get more cautious. "He is a great growth story, the host said. After launching in San Francisco in 2012, it has expanded to more than 300 markets across the country and Canada. 18.6 million active users as of December, 1.1 million drivers, and 39 percent market share, it practically has a duopoly with Uber, he said.

The company has a good balance sheet because it has no problem raising money, but it spent $ 1 trillion in 2018 and plans to top that figure in 2019, Cramer noted Although its gross margins improved from 18 percent in 2016 to 42.3 percent last year, it has a way to go before it is profitable because it is spending to expand and take market share, it added.

"The biggest concern here is that lifts nearly a billion dollars last year and we have no idea when it will become profitable," Cramer said. "Yesterday the company held a major investor meeting where they indicated that 2019 will be a peak year for in establishment in the business … The problem here is that if anything starts to go off the rails, there is nothing propping up the stock. "

Lyft's bookings growth has also slowed from 140 percent in 2017 to 75 percent in 2018, Cramer said. The good news is its revenue as a percentage of bookings has continued increasing 18 to 27 percent in the past two years, meaning the company is making more money per ride. Snapchat, the picture and video app owned by Snap Inc., Cramer said.

Additionally, the transportation sector is highly regulated, especially at the local and state levels where disruptive tech companies don't get much love from politicians, Cramer said. He also criticized its dual-class ownership structure, which gives nearly half the voting power to its founders: CEO Logan Green and Vice Chairman John Zimmer.

"When shareholders don't have the ability to remove management, you can end up with some perverse incentives, "the host said. "This is something else. Has been in common with Snap, and it's pretty suboptimal."


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