"The Ministry of Justice has ruled that the overall opinion of the Court came to the right conclusion and will support it by appeal," said Kerri Kupec, a spokesman for the Ministry of Justice.
This decision, which received the same number of Trump allies again, puts the health issue at the heart of the political debate and broadly ensures that the 2020 elections – such as the 2018, 2016, 2014, 2012 and 2010 elections before that – will activate ACA.
It is an enchanting step for Trump who spent most of Monday in the face of a series of conclusions, according to Advocate Bill Barr in Specialist Robert Mueller's report, which was as favorable as the President could have hoped: That the Special Advisor did not state that anyone in Trump's campaign interacted with the Russian government in 201
6 on election disorder and that there was insufficient evidence that Barr could create an obstacle to the judgment against the president.
Switching the spotlight The national debate from Russia to healthcare will be risky so quickly, but it is particularly problematic, since a) the last five elections have shown that people care about and vote on the issue of healthcare and b) drop off with Obamacare is not a widely popular view of the American public.
In one February, the Kaiser Family Foundation study at ACA, 50% of it approved 37% disa pproved. In fact, since President Barack Obama left the office in January 2017, his legislative signature – and the one carrying his name – has grown ever more popular. Since May 2017, according to Kaiser data, more than one person has been approved by several people – a change from most of the previous five years, as the law was consistently underwater in terms of approval. Many of the laws that have long been the most popular – allow children to remain on their parents' insurance for 26 years, no discrimination against insurance companies because of the patient's pre-existing conditions – remains in force. The least popular provision – the individual mandate that forced everyone in the country to get some form of health care – was effectively removed by the Congress Republicans (and Trump) in their tax law in 2017.
These figures explain why house democrats ran hundreds of hundreds of TV ads in the 2018 mid-term elections, which allowed the Republicans, if they had their way, completely eliminated Obamacare. "The Republicans will do anything to divert attention away from their voices to remove the Americans' health care," said House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi (D-California) in the days to mid-term. And after the Democrats took over Parliament in 2018, Pelosi was just as clear; "The health service was on the ball and health care won," she said.
The data backs up at the Pelosis position. More than 4 out of 10 voters in 2018 said health care was their top priority in the election, according to exit polling. Democrats won these health care voters by 52 points. 52!
The massive edge for democrats reflects how much the political landscape has waved the problem over the last decade. Resistance to what many conservatives considered was a massive government overstatement in what should be best handled by the private market, which led Republicans to gain control of Parliament in the midst of 2010. In 2012, public opinion on the law had stabilized, and Obama was re-elected relatively easily. Two years later, in between implementation problems and the famous / infamous backtracking on "If you like your health care, you can keep it," the Republicans once again raised their opposition to the ACA and made more sperm gains in Congress. In the 2016 presidential election, Trump explicitly ran a plan to lift and replace ACA. In 2018, the Democrats were able to take advantage of the fact that the House Republicans had approved an abolition and replaced a package that was never allowed because it failed in the Senate vote in the Senate.
Trump's decision to choose this match at the moment is therefore difficult to understand. There is no doubt that his base hates Obamacare and wants to see it gone. And that he believes that at least part of his 2016 victory – and perhaps his options for re-election in 2020 – hangs on him and makes it good to remove the most visible footprint from his predecessor. On the rally after the rally during the 2018 campaign, Trump told the story of John McCain's decision to vote against Obamacare's so-called "lean lifting", a line that always drew Boos and Jeers toward late Arizona Senator from the crowd.
Trump has spent the entire first two years of his presidency playing on his hardcore base – and seen through this lens, the decision to resume the ACA fight has some meaning. But Trump won't win another period just because of his base. And by picking the Obamacare scab, Trump is energetic and inflamed Democrats and many independent. And that's a big political mistake.