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Cautions on chaotic & # 39; no-deal & # 39; growing in the middle of UK Brexit deadlock



The alarms flash, the rock comes closer – but can Britain avoid stumbling out of the EU?

After lawmakers rejected the government's Brexit agreement three times and twice failed to agree on any other option, Britain has only 10 days to come up with a new plan or crash out of the EU.

A look at what can happen next:

NO DEAL

Michel Barnier, who has been the leading Brexit dealer for the 27 other EU countries, has warned that a "no-deal" "Brexit is" likely "because of Britain's political killings.

Earlier this month, the EU agreed to postpone the original Brexit date in March 29, but only gave the UK until April 1

2 to come up with a new plan and seek an additional extension, or go without agreement or transitional period to Make it easier.

Most politicians, economists and business groups believe leaving the world's largest trading block without agreement is damaging the EU and disastrous for the UK It would bring tariffs on trade between Great Britain and the EU, customs controls that could cause gridlock in ports and that could Take shortage of essential goods.

A hard core of Brexite's lawmakers in the May Conservative Party rejects this as "Project Fear" and argues what they call a "pure Brexit". But most legislators oppose going without agreement. Parliament has voted repeatedly to rule out a "no-deal" Brexit – but it remains the default position unless an agreement is approved, Brexit is canceled or the EU is giving the UK another extension.

May says that the only way to guarantee Britain does not leave the EU without an agreement is that Parliament must withhold its agreement, which legislators have already rejected three times.

Without this, Parliament could try to take drastic measures such as overthrowing the government or legislating to force it to avoid "no" – although these are risky and difficult opportunities.

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MAY UNDEAD DEAL

After nearly two years of negotiations, Britain and the EU hit a divorce agreement in November, setting out the conditions of departure from the block and giving a rough overview of future relations.

But it has been rejected by lawmakers on both sides of the Brexit bias. Pro-Brexit lawmakers believe that it keeps Britain too closely linked to EU rules. Pro-EU lawmakers claim that it is worse than U.K.'s current EU member status.

Parliament has thrown it out three times, although the latest defeat, with 58 votes, was the least yet. It was rejected even after May won over some pro-Brexit lawmakers by promising to terminate if approved.

May consider a final push this week and claim that Parliament's failure to withdraw any other agreement means that her deal is the best solution available. But the odds of success look long.

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SOFT BREXIT

On Monday, Parliament voted on four alternative proposals for corn rejected agreement after lawmakers took control of the form from the government.

No one received a majority, but the votes revealed a solid block of support for a "soft brexit" that would maintain close economic ties between Britain and the EU. A plan to keep the UK in an EU customs union ensuring a smooth trade in goods was defeated by only three votes.

May have excluded these opportunities because adhering to EU trade rules will limit Britain's ability to create new trade agreements around the world.

But by changing his agreement to adopt a customs union, one could get valuable votes in Parliament. It will also likely be welcomed by the EU and would allow Britain to leave the block properly in the coming months.

However, it would also cause a twilight in the conservative party which constituted the potential termination of the Probrexit government ministers.

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NEW BREXIT REFERENDUM

Parliament also narrowly rejected a proposal for a new referendum on whether to leave the EU or remain.

The proposal for any Brexit agreement to be published in a "confirmatory referendum" was defeated by 12 votes. It was supported by opposition parties, plus some of the corn conservatives – primarily those who want to stay in the block.

Her government has ruled out holding a new referendum on Britain's EU membership, as the voters in 2016 decided to leave. 19659003] But with departments in both parliament and May's cabinet, the overlap of the decision back to the people of a new plebiscite could be considered the only way forward.

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BREXIT DELAYED

The alternative to a "no-deal" departure is to delay Brexit for at least several months, and possibly more than a year, to clear out the mess. The EU is frustrated with the death penalty and has said it will only give another postponement if Britain comes up with a brand new Brexit plan.

The block is reluctant to get an exit UK to participate in the elections from 23-26. but that would have to happen if Brexit is delayed. Nevertheless, the president of the EU, Donald Tusk, has urged the block to give Britain a Brexit extension if it plans to change course.

A long delay gives the chances of an early British election that could rearrange the Parliament and break the dead end. [19659003] ___

Follow AP's full coverage of Brexit at: https://www.apnews.com/Brexit


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