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2021 Masters Selection, Odds: Expert Predictions, Favorites to Win from the Betting Field at Augusta National



The 85th edition of the Masters is fast approaching this week, so the key question for most everyone’s minds is the same throughout the golf world: Who do you choose to win at Augusta National in April? With a huge field of most of the best professionals and a few of the best amateurs in the world, the first major in 2021 should be an epic ride from Thursday’s first round onwards.

The Masters stories are plentiful this week. Dustin Johnson wants to become the fourth golfer to win back-to-back green jackets, while Rory McIlroy remains in the hunt for his first. Unfortunately for McIlroy, he is not playing at his highest level at this point, which puts him further back on the odds board than he would otherwise sit. Justin Thomas as the winner of The Players Championship is hot at attending the event, but so is Jordan Spieth, who not only had an incredible start to 2021

, but just won the Texas Open Sunday for his first PGA Tour victory since 2017.

So what will happen this week at Augusta? Let’s look at a complete set of predictions and choices from our CBS Sports experts. Check out a complete set of 2021 Masters odds via the William Hill Sportsbook.

2021 Masters expert selection, predictions

Kyle Porter, golf writer

Winner – Jordan Spieth (10-1): Well, I’m totally inside at this point. Can just as well make it official. Try to ignore the Texas Open victory if you can and focus on the fact that he is tops when it comes to recent iron play and history on this golf course. Last week’s victory may have relaxed him a bit, although I have no idea if it’s good for Spieth to be relaxed at all. Either way, he will fight (and I think win) because he is incredibly smart on this golf course and he has been getting hit on approach shots in 22 of his last 25 stroke rounds. The rumors are true, people. He’s back, and he’s been back a while.

Sleeper – Sergio Garcia (45-1):
I know I will regret this, but I can not help myself. Since February 1, only Paul Casey has hit the ball better than Garcia. I’m worried about his recent history at major championships (nine unanswered cuts since his victory here in 2017), but he has won equity at massive events and tee-to-green numbers (2.35 strokes achieved per round since February 1st). according to Data Golf) are hard to ignore.

Top 10 locks – Dustin Johnson:
It seems in the midst of Spieth hoopla, as if we have all forgotten the world number 1 player and defending champion for this event. He has five straight top 10s here and has only lost to Tiger Woods in his last two rounds. A hard pitch should actually benefit what he does best, and some of his recent fights (if you will call them that) have been due to unusually poor putting, which is far less worrying than if he did not hit the ball well.

Star that certainly does not win – Brooks Koepka:
Does this count? Only one player in the field has more majors than Koepka, who won back in February, but I’m not buying the bravado of being able to tear it out this week. It’s unfortunate because Koepka gives a great depth to major championships, but I would be completely stunned if he came in and won this after undergoing a knee procedure and showing up at the tournament without any real tournament work in the weeks leading up to in it.

Surprise prediction: Phil Mickelson gets into conflict at some point. Again, I do not know how bold it is to say that a triple Masters champion should play well at the Masters, but Lefty has also dropped out of the top 100 in the official world rankings and has not had a top 10 here since 2015. However, he has washed his irons, and in a hard, fast setup, his course knowledge will be disproportionately valuable. I don’t know it runs all the way until Sunday, but I think Mickelson might have a fun little week around Augusta National.

Lowest round: 66 (-6)
Winning score: 278 (-10)
Winner’s Sunday score: 70 (-2)


Chip Patterson, author

Winner – Dustin Johnson (8-1): When DJ limited his 20-under win in November, I immediately considered him my choice to drive it back. It’s not specifically the way he managed the pitch and the current state of his game as the world’s leading player, but rather how the 2020 victory was the culmination of the recent success at Augusta National. Since 2015, DJ has finished in the top 10 of each Masters start with a T2 in 2019 and a T4 in 2016. So often we refer to the course history and discuss who has “found out Rubik’s dice”, and the results clearly point to DJ who is one of the golfers who has the game plan to win. The only reason to bet on the DJ beforehand was a belief that all the high finishes without wins were a sign that something extra was missing from his large championship repertoire, but now that he has broken the seal and joined several majors’ club, I think we might see a sluice gate-type race.

Sleeper – Matthew Fitzpatrick (60-1): Often lost when discussing the great young players in golf, their successes are off the PGA Tour. Fitzpatrick, 26, does not yet have a winner on the tour, but is a six-time winner on the European Tour. I like the value here because of his recent form in PGA Tour events, finishing T9 at The Players, T10 at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, T11 at the WGC Workday Championship and T5 at the Genesis Invitational. These are strong finishes against solid fields, and they have driven Fitzpatrick to No. 16 in OWGR, a new career high. Statistically, he has nothing I would categorize as elite based on his limited sample size in 2021, but it is his improvements on the green (finishing No. 2 on the PGA Tour in battles achieved in 2020) that give me confidence , that he can succeed at Augusta National. Fitzpatrick has been making every single cut at the Masters since 2016, when he had his career-best big finish on the T7.

Top 10 locks – Jon Rahm: Raw until it just had a baby bump, but even without the trend of golfers playing well with a newborn in the world, this is a rock solid choice. Rahm is too good and has too much appreciation for this course to believe he will not finish 72 holes near the top of the leaderboard. He can win it, be in contention all the way or the back door in with a low score on Sunday. Either way, over the course of the week, he plays well enough compared to the rest of the field to end up in the top 10.

Star that certainly does not win – Brooks Koepka: I love Koepka’s story showing up in Augusta with increasing confidence less than a month removed from surgery on her right knee. He says he hit balls “seven days out of surgery” and underwent intense rehab sessions to get ready for this championship. Again, this is one of my top five favorite stories of the week, and I would love to talk about it, but I do not think going the course for four days in a row – a harder walk than most would think due to altitude changes , who does not always show up on TV – makes him win late Sunday afternoon.

Surprise prediction: More hole-in-ones! I will go a step further and say that we have more aces at No. 16, as “Redbud” has delivered the most hole-in-ones in Masters history, but let’s leave room open for this prediction to hit. Each of the last four times the Masters was held at its traditional April place in the calendar, there has been at least one Ace at No. 16, including two in 2019 (Bryson DeChambeau and Justin Thomas) and three in 2016 (Shane Lowry, Davis Love III and Louis Oosthuizen).

Lowest round: 63 (-9)
Winning score: 269 ​​(-19)
Winner’s Sunday score: 68 (-4)

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Kyle Boone, author

Winner – Rory McIlroy (14-1): While McIlroy has not been able to overthrow Augusta National and claim a green jacket, he has been close in recent years with six top-10 appearances in his last seven excursions. McIlroy was also nailing at his Masters show in November. If not for an opening round 75, we might be talking about his attempt at a repeat coming this week. His last 54-hole score of 202 was a stroke better than Johnson, who shorted a 203 during his final three days to put on the green jacket. At 14-1, McIlroy presents great value. If he brings his “A” fight, he’s in the mix until the end of Sunday.

Sleeper – Cameron Smith (35-1): Still relatively green on the PGA Tour, the 28-year-old Aussie compensates for his inexperience with real, early success. He finished top 20 at The Players Championship and came fourth at the Genesis Invitational. He has also found tremendous success at the Masters led by a T2 finish last November and a T5 finish in 2018. Getting 35-1 odds on a player with two career top-five finishes in four Masters appearances is roughly equal as good a value as you can Find.

Top 10 locks – Justin Thomas: When JT joins his game, he is one of the best tee-to-green golfers on the trip. And even when he is not, he can work and paint himself into strife when he calculates things on the go. But the way he has played most of the last six months is to track toward a safe top-10 finish. He finished fourth at the Masters in November and managed a top 10 US Open finish in September despite struggling through a couple of ugly laps to get there. He has improved his final status at this tournament every year over the last five years, so it shows that this week could be one of his best shows.

Star that certainly does not win – Jordan Spieth: Winning the Texas Open in up to Masters Week is a good indication that Spieth, whose career has been a roller coaster, is back on an upward trajectory. And no doubt what he has been doing for the last few months has been encouraging. But Spieth’s ghosts at Augusta are real. He’s finished outside of the top-20 his last two performances at Augusta National, and this course can be unforgiving once you get into your own head, which Spieth doesn’t usually do.

Surprise prediction: Bryson DeChambeau leads after more rounds than the final champion. A lot was done in the run-up to his Masters appearance last year because of his length off the tee and the confidence he showed before the tournament in his ability to break Augusta, which ended in a T34 finish. It was a humble experience for one of golf’s longest and strongest golfers. He will be in the mix into the weekend and on top of the leaderboard into Saturday driven by this failure.

Lowest round: 65 (-7)
Winning score: 270 (-18)
Winner’s Sunday score: 67 (-5)

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